OPEN LETTER II By: FReeper David Osborne 12 October 2007
(12 October 2007) ^ | 12 October 2007 | David C. Osborne
Posted on 10/13/2007 4:47:51 AM EDT by davidosborne
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: PRESIDENTIAL RACE 2008 (Objective Analysis)
By: FReeper David C. Osborne
12 October 2007
Greetings ! The purpose of this letter is to provide you the reader (and anyone you pass it on to), with my objective analysis of the 2008 United States Presidential Race. In addition I want to express my opinion and make some observations. It is no secret that I have chosen to support Duncan Hunter to be our next Commander in Chief. As you well know, the President of the United States wears many “hats”. However, given the world situation, it is my opinion (I hope you share this opinion with me) that the Commander in Chief “hat” is the one that MUST be the PRIMARY consideration.
So here are a few objective observations to start with.
1. FRED THOMPSON – Interestingly enough, Fred made his first debut in a presidential debate, and to put it mildly he fell flat on his face, and the numbers are starting to reflect that. Many of his grassroots supporters have left the campaign in the wake of the disaster. Many folks on a conservative web forum that was created to support Fred Thompson have shifted their support to DUNCAN HUNTER.
2. MITT ROMNEY – What can I say, the guy has the MONEY, he even has the so-called NAME RECOGNITION, and yes his grassroots supporters are few and far between. I don’t know if this has anything to do with him being a Mormon or not, but that “issue” always seems to come up in conservative circles.
3. SAM BROWNBACK – While I think Sam Brownback scored some points in this debate, I think his campaign is still lacking the energy needed to get moving.
4. MIKE HUCKABEE – I confess that my opinion of Mike Huckabee is not as objective as it should be. Many of my fellow Christian/Conservatives insist that he is the THE MAN, however the “conservative family” is much larger than the “Christian Conservative” family, and I just don’t see Mike Huckabee breaking out.
5. TOM TANCREDO – I have heard a rumor that Tom Tancredo is considering dropping out of the race, if this is true, I hope to see his supporters come over the DUNCAN HUNTER CAMP. In fact if Tom decides to endorse Duncan Hunter I think it will be a very wise move for him.
6. JOHN MCCAIN – Way too much of a RINO to get ANY support from the grassroots conservatives. While I respect John McCain and thank him for his service to our country, his opportunity to become President of United States has come and gone. I hope to see him drop out of the race as well, but I don’t see that happening any time soon.
7. RUDY GIULIANI – Former mayor of New York, has the name recognition that other candidates could only dream of, however he is NOT a conservative. I encourage the “Moderate Republicans” among us who support him to consider the consequences of supporting a candidate that can certainly make it through the PRIMARY, but will have ZERO chance in the GENERAL, simply because many conservatives have vowed to not vote for him even if he IS the nominee.
8. RON PAUL – In short – Ron Paul is the LEFT’s dream candidate for the Republican party – I can’t help but offer this “conspiracy theory” – Who thinks it’s possible that the ANTI-WAR crowd will register REPUBLICAN in the Primary, JUST to vote for RON PAUL? ! — Not to give the left any ideas, but think about it for second. If ALL THE Anti-War folks register Republican, and vote for Ron Paul in the Primary, they can marginalize the REAL conservatives and all but guarantee a GIULIANI victory. Which of course will result in a HILLARY CLINTON victory in the General Election.
9. DUNCAN HUNTER – O.K. Now that we got through all that I have saved the BEST for LAST. DUNCAN HUNTER is the only candidate in the race that can not only win the PRIMARY, but is the only candidate who can defeat Hillary Clinton in the GENERAL ELECTION. – In my humble opinion, it is imperative that REAL conservatives seriously consider who they are supporting in the PRIMARY. If you do this, I am sure you will, as many already have, come to the conclusion that DUNCAN HUNTER IS… The RIGHT man, at the RIGHT time, and is the only candidate in the race that can pull off a RONALD REAGAN type victory in 2008.
It is my sincere humble opinion, that Duncan Hunter is MOST qualified to wear the “Commander in Chief hat” in 2008 and on into the foreseeable future. No other candidate in the race on either side of aisle comes even close to his qualifications.
Having said that; It is very frustrating to me that so many folks out there who KNOW in their heart that Duncan Hunter is the right man at the right time are buying into the notion that Duncan Hunter “can’t win”. They seem to suggest that no matter how qualified Duncan Hunter is, if the MEDIA says he can’t win, then it must be true. Some have even suggested that it’s all about “NAME RECOGNITION”. If you have not heard this excuse yet, then you just are not paying close attention to the primary race. If these well meaning conservatives would quit spouting this garbage, the “name recognition” factor would be dramatically reduced. In my research I have found that many of the folks who say that “Duncan Hunter can’t win” are the folks who have already committed to supporting another candidate. This is a clear indication to me that it simply is NOT TRUE, but rather a campaign slogan for the “other guy”.
In fact if you look at the national polls, you will see that a very significant number of folks out there are UNDECIDED when asked which REPUBLICAN candidate they will support in the PRIMARY. Truthfully, I look at the “national polls” simply for entertainment sakes, because personally I don’t believe that polls taken so early in the game are any real indication of who really can or can’t win the REPUBLICAN PRIMARY.
However, the FreeRepublic.Com polls in my humble opinion ARE a very good indication of where grassroots conservatives stand. I have been watching these polls very carefully since the beginning of the campaign season. I have made a couple of observations that I would like to share. Before I state these observations, let me say that the only numbers I consider relevant are the “members” numbers. While this of course in not scientific by any means, if supported by additional data can be a very good barometer of where grassroots conservative INDIVIDUALS are leaning.
1. Fred Thompson seems to pull about 50% plus of all member votes, however this high figure is NOT supported by the fact that so few of these folks post anything PUBLIC on the forum itself. My latest estimate is that about 35% of the folks who have posted publicly in support of either Fred Thompson or Duncan Hunter are actually Fred Thompson Supporters. However, 65% of the folks who have posted publicly in support of either Fred Thompson or Duncan Hunter have indicated support for Duncan Hunter. Again, not scientific, but a very interesting observation, for which there may be a number of “explanations”.
2. As of this writing, the FR polls have made a dramatic shift toward Duncan Hunter and away from Fred Thompson. In fact Fred Thompson’s numbers have been in steady decline since the Michigan Debate. This phenomena is not just on FreeRepublic.com, but other conservative web forums as well. Look for this trend to continue as we get deeper into the campaign season.
In conclusion, it appears to me that as more conservatives start to take a serious look at the candidates in the race, Duncan Hunter seems to be gaining momentum, it is my sincere hope that this trend continues into the primary, and that folk stop the “Duncan Hunter can’t win rhetoric.
Thanks for listening, feel free to pass this letter on.
TOWARD VICTORY
David C. Osborne
